Carmignac Portfolio Emerging Discovery (A EUR ACC share class, ISIN LU03360838101) continued its good run returning [+6.00%] during the second quarter versus [+5.07%] for its reference indicator2 taking the overall returns for the first half of the year to [+17.08%] compared to [+7.96%] for its reference indicator. The fund has an Article 8 designation with over 50% of its holdings contributing to United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (UN SDGs)3.
The fund’s holdings in India contributed well as also specific long term holdings in China (SITC), Turkey (BIM) and Vietnam (FPT). On the other hand, the fund’s exposure to the semiconductor supply chain in Taiwan and South Korea did not work the way we had hoped.
As we had highlighted before, 2024 is the year of elections around the world and we had some of the most consequential elections in Emerging Markets in Q2. In India, Prime Minister Modi did not do as well as expected but returned to power with the support of long-standing alliance partners. The political continuity in India is a relief as we believe the Modi government has prepared the ground for a capex upcycle which, if it becomes reality, can greatly benefit India. On the other hand, the election results from Mexico have caused worries in the markets. Our investments in Mexico are mainly concentrated around the near-shoring theme which we believe is structural and mutually beneficial to both the USA and Mexico. So we used the sell-off in Mexico and Latin America in general to increase our positions. The final major election was the one in South Africa. While there was no clear winner, the government formation has boosted optimism for a government more focused on improving the economy. Given this outlook we bought into South African equities for the first time in many years.
Even as the Fund benefits from the several positive trend across our markets (e.g. growth in India, Artificial Intelligence, near-shoring etc), our focus is on reducing risks in the portfolio by increasing diversification. For example, we are looking to increase exposure to geographies such as South-East Asia which have been out-of-favour. With this in mind we initiated a position in Asia Commercial Bank (ACB) in Vietnam. We believe ACB is one of the best-run banks in the private sector in Vietnam, has a long runway for growth and can be a great long-term compounder for the Fund. We do worry about the political risks in Vietnam but also believe that the growth opportunity is compelling and low starting valuations will protect us.
In a similar vein, we have started building a position in the Clicks Group in South Africa. Clicks is a very well-managed chain of pharmacies and brands. As mentioned earlier, the political changes in South Africa gave us the confidence to increase exposure to that country. We continue to evaluate IPOs across our geographies but participating only in those that can be long term holdings. One such business we invested in was TBO Tek which is a global travel distribution platform based in India. The new investments have been funded by reducing our holdings in businesses which we like structurally but where valuations have gone beyond our zone of comfort in the near term.
The focus of the Fund continues to be on identifying long-term compounders in Emerging Markets. Discussion on Emerging Markets often centers around China and mega-cap stocks. We believe that global equity markets have not been paying sufficient attention to wonderful businesses that are bubbling up below the surface. However we can also see increasing investor interest in EM, especially the high growth countries/ industries which is reassuring.
We recognize that there are signs of slowdown in the global economy which may also mean equity markets switch away from countries/ industries/ themes that have been recent ‘winners’ to more defensive businesses. We aim to take advantage of the diversity of our investment universe to ensure our portfolio is resilient to short-term shocks while staying true to our long term objective.
*Risk Scale from the KID (Key Information Document). Risk 1 does not mean a risk-free investment. This indicator may change over time. **The Sustainable Finance Disclosure Regulation (SFDR) 2019/2088 is a European regulation that requires asset managers to classify their funds as either 'Article 8' funds, which promote environmental and social characteristics, 'Article 9' funds, which make sustainable investments with measurable objectives, or 'Article 6' funds, which do not necessarily have a sustainability objective. For more information please refer to https://eur-lex.europa.eu/eli/reg/2019/2088/oj.
Carmignac Portfolio Asia Discovery | 13.1 | 3.0 | 3.8 | 17.9 | -8.9 | 10.0 | -0.2 | 25.5 | -22.4 | 12.7 |
Reference Indicator | 13.0 | 0.2 | 6.7 | 18.1 | -11.6 | 14.4 | 5.4 | 21.3 | -11.7 | 14.9 |
Carmignac Portfolio Asia Discovery | + 2.0 % | + 6.3 % | + 5.6 % |
Reference Indicator | + 4.3 % | + 8.3 % | + 6.1 % |
Source: Carmignac at 29 Nov 2024.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. Performances are net of fees (excluding possible entrance fees charged by the distributor).
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